City Report · AZ

Surprise

Pop. 154,948·20th most expensive in Arizona·Rental market data updated monthly for Surprise, AZ
Median rent (all units)
$1,927/mo
Year-over-Year
+1.7%
Month-over-Month
+0.3%
vs US Median
-$38
Stable (Monthly)
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Most AffordableMost Expensive
Surprise · $1,927
More expensive than 54% of US cities · National median $1,965/mo
Rent Reality Score
86/100
Great value
OverheatedFairGreat value

Rents are 18% below what Surprise's 10-year trend predicts — a better deal than its own history suggests.

Actual rent
$1,927/mo
Expected by trend
$2,351/mo
The Rent Reality Score compares today's median rent to where Surprise's own long-run trajectory projects it should be. See the full rankings →
Medians by bedroom

Rent by unit size

Studio
$1,808
1 BR
$1,984
2 BR
$2,304
3 BR
$3,100
4 BR+
$3,472
Research median
$2,304/mo

Bedroom estimates are gross rents that include essential utilities (electricity, water, gas, sewer, trash).

Rent trends

12-month history

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Last updated: July 20, 2026

Annual cost
$23,124/yr
At $1,927/mo median
Rent Market Meter
Landlord's Market
Renter's MarketBalancedLandlord's Market
Rents are climbing (1.7% YoY), so leverage tilts toward landlords. Act sooner rather than later.
Based on rent-price momentum (+1.7% YoY, +0.3% MoM), not inventory.
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Demographics

Who lives here

Surprise, AZ is majority owner-occupied, has a large retiree population, has a median income above the national average, 30.5% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher.

Population
154,948
Median income
$96,711
Median age
41.4
Renters
20.9%
Age distribution
23.1%
18.6%
25.3%
22.2%
Under 1823.1%
18–3418.6%
35–5425.3%
55–6410.8%
65+22.2%
Gender
47.5%
52.5%
Male47.5%
Female52.5%
Race & ethnicity
71.7%
20%
White71.7%
Black4.6%
Hispanic20%
Asian2.6%
Other1.1%
Education (25+)
25.3%
38.4%
30.5%
No HS diploma5.8%
HS diploma25.3%
Some college38.4%
Bachelor's+30.5%
Housing tenure
79.1%
20.9%
Owner79.1%
Renter20.9%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · ACS 2024 5-Year Estimates

2021 vs 2026

How Surprise, AZ has changed in 5 years

Rent
$1,656 → $1,927
up 16.4%
Income
$76,623 → $96,711
up 26.2%
Population
141,875 → 154,948
up 9.2%
Renter share
23.6% → 20.9%
-2.7 pts
Bachelor's+
30.6% → 30.5%
-0.1 pts

Since 2021, the typical rent in Surprise, AZ has increased from $1,656 to $1,927, a 16.4% change over five years. Census figures show median household income at $96,711 today, compared with $76,623 five years earlier. On paper, paychecks moved up faster than rent, which softens the affordability squeeze versus the 2021 baseline. The population has grown by 9.2% since 2021, moving from about 141,875 residents to roughly 154,948. Renters now make up 20.9% of households, compared with 23.6% five years ago. The combined trend lines point to a market that has changed measurably from where it stood in early 2021.

Community

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View Surprise rent history (2015–2026) →
Salary vs rent

Can you afford rent in Surprise on your salary?

At $1,927/mo, how Surprise rent compares to typical pay (30% rule).

By apartment size

Surprise rent by bedroom count

Median rent for each apartment size in Surprise. Click any size for full breakdown.

Local insights

Tips for renters in Surprise

About renting in Surprise, AZ

Last updated: July 20, 2026

The median rent in Surprise is $1,927/mo as of July 2026. A studio apartment averages $1,808/mo while a 2-bedroom runs $2,304/mo. One-bedroom apartments average $1,984/mo and 3-bedroom units go for $3,100/mo.

At 24% of local median household income ($96,711/yr), Surprise ranks as affordable compared to the national benchmark of 30%. Rents have increased 1.7% over the past year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Surprise an affordable city for renters?

Surprise is considered very affordable for renters. At $1,927/mo, rent takes approximately 24% of the local median household income ($96,711/yr). The standard benchmark is 30%. Surprise falls comfortably within that range.

How much income do you need to rent in Surprise?

To keep rent at or below 30% of gross income, you would need to earn at least $77,000/year (~$37/hour full-time) to afford the median rent of $1,927/mo in Surprise. The local median household income is $96,711/yr, meaning the typical Surprise household meets that threshold.

Is rent going up or down in Surprise?

Rent in Surprise has increased 1.7% over the past year as of July 2026, putting upward pressure on renter budgets.

Which Surprise neighborhoods have the lowest rent?

The most affordable ZIP codes in Surprise are 85378 ($1,608/mo), 85374 ($1,665/mo), and 85379 ($1,984/mo). Citywide, the median rent in Surprise is $1,927/mo.

How does Surprise rent compare to other cities in Arizona?

Surprise is middle-of-the-pack for Arizona for rent, ranking #20 out of 51 tracked cities at $1,927/mo.

Which nearby cities are cheaper to rent in than Surprise?

Several nearby cities have lower median rents than Surprise ($1,927/mo): Youngtown ($1,417/mo), Sun City ($1,737/mo).

What percentage of Surprise residents rent vs. own?

According to Census data, approximately 20.9% of Surprise households are renters, while 79.1% are owner-occupied. Surprise leans toward homeownership, which can mean a smaller rental inventory.

How does Surprise rent compare to the national average?

Surprise's median rent of $1,927/mo is $38 (2%) below the US national median of $1,965/mo. Within Arizona, it ranks #20 out of 51 tracked cities.
Income Affordability
24%
VERY AFFORDABLE

At $1,927/mo, rent takes ~24% of Surprise's median household income ($96,711/yr). The standard benchmark is 30%.

Surprise 24%Benchmark 30%
State income tax2.5%
Run the Surprise affordability calculator →
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Neighborhoods

Estimated from ZIP-level data

Schools nearby

Public schools near Surprise, AZ

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