City Report · FL

Valrico

Pop. 40,239·69th most expensive in Florida·One of the pricier rental markets in the US
Median rent (all units)
$2,536/mo
Year-over-Year
+3.3%
Month-over-Month
+0.1%
vs US Median
+$604
Reported rents
Stable (Monthly)
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Most AffordableMost Expensive
Valrico · $2,536
More expensive than 81% of US cities · National median $1,932/mo
Rent Reality Score
63/100
Good value
OverheatedFairGreat value

Rents are 6% below what Valrico's 10-year trend predicts — a better deal than its own history suggests.

Actual rent
$2,536/mo
Expected by trend
$2,708/mo
The Rent Reality Score compares today's median rent to where Valrico's own long-run trajectory projects it should be. See the full rankings →
Medians by bedroom

Rent by unit size

Studio
$2,115
1 BR
$2,275
2 BR
$2,670
3 BR
$3,415
4 BR+
$4,160
Fair Market Rent (HUD)
$2,670/mo

These are HUD Fair Market Rents, the payment standard for a Housing Choice Voucher (Section 8). They often differ from the $2,536 market median above, and that is expected: FMR is the 40th percentile of standard-quality units and counts gross rent, so it includes essential utilities such as electricity, water, gas, sewer, and trash. The market median is asking rent, which usually excludes utilities. HUD sets FMR once a year; market rent here updates monthly.

Source: HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents. Read the methodology →

Rent trends

12-month history

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Last updated: October 17, 2026

From the history

What the numbers show

Cheapest month to sign

February. Asking rents in Valrico usually run 1.1% below trend in February and 1.2% above it in August, about $58 a month apart at today's median. Based on 11 years of data.

Compared with the peak

Rent in Valrico is at its highest level since Zillow's records here began in January 2015.

Past year vs. the rest of Florida

Rent in Valrico changed +3.3% over the year to September 2026. Across the 270 Florida cities Zillow tracks, the typical change was +1.8%.

Rent vs. income since 2019

From 2019 to 2024, rent in Valrico rose 48% while median household income rose 39.4% ($75,221 to $104,839). Rent outpaced income.

Since before the pandemic

Rent in Valrico is 54% higher than in March 2020. Across the US, rent is up 37.3% over the same stretch.

Recent direction

Rent has risen 4 months in a row, and rose in 10 of the last 12 months.

What a typical income covers

30% of the median household income ($104,839) is $2,621 a month. That covers HUD's Fair Market Rent for up to a 1-bedroom ($2,275); a 2-bedroom is $2,670.

Cheaper nearby

Brandon, 4 miles away, rents for 32% less ($1,729/mo), about $9,700 a year in savings.

From Zillow's monthly rent index (ZORI) for Valrico. The seasonal pattern compares Zillow’s seasonally adjusted and unadjusted series. Income is the Census median household income (5-year estimates). Fair Market Rents are HUD’s, which include utilities.

Annual cost
$30,432/yr
At $2,536/mo median
Rent Market Meter
Landlord's Market
Renter's MarketBalancedLandlord's Market
Rents are climbing (3.3% YoY), so leverage tilts toward landlords. Act sooner rather than later.
Based on rent-price momentum (+3.3% YoY, +0.1% MoM), not inventory.
Rent check

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Demographics

Who lives here

Valrico, FL is majority owner-occupied, has a median income above the national average, 38.2% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher.

Population
40,239
Median income
$104,839
Median age
44.5
Renters
21%
Age distribution
21.2%
16.7%
26.8%
16.6%
18.6%
Under 1821.2%
18–3416.7%
35–5426.8%
55–6416.6%
65+18.6%
Gender
48.1%
51.9%
Male48.1%
Female51.9%
Race & ethnicity
59.8%
23.2%
White59.8%
Black11.3%
Hispanic23.2%
Asian4.9%
Other0.7%
Education (25+)
24%
29.9%
38.2%
No HS diploma7.9%
HS diploma24%
Some college29.9%
Bachelor's+38.2%
Housing tenure
79%
21%
Owner79%
Renter21%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · ACS 2024 5-Year Estimates

2021 vs 2026

How Valrico, FL has changed in 5 years

Rent
$1,839 → $2,536
up 37.9%
Income
$84,986 → $104,839
up 23.4%
Population
39,632 → 40,239
up 1.5%
Renter share
21% → 21%
+0.0 pts
Bachelor's+
36.3% → 38.2%
+1.9 pts
Median age
43.7 → 44.5
+0.8 yrs

Five years ago, renters in Valrico, FL paid around $1,839 a month. That figure now sits near $2,536, up 37.9% from the 2021 baseline. Household income in the area moved from $84,986 to $104,839 across the same window, up 23.4% versus 2021. Because rent grew faster than wages over the same span, the affordability picture has tightened relative to 2021. Census counts show Valrico, FL adding about 607 residents over the five-year window, up 1.5% on net. Reading these numbers side by side helps frame whether current listings in Valrico, FL look reasonable against where the market sat half a decade ago.

Community

Discussions about Valrico

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View Valrico rent history (2015–2026) →
Salary vs rent

Can you afford rent in Valrico on your salary?

At $2,536/mo, how Valrico rent compares to typical pay (30% rule).

By apartment size

Valrico rent by bedroom count

Median rent for each apartment size in Valrico. Click any size for full breakdown.

Local insights

Tips for renters in Valrico

About renting in Valrico, FL

Last updated: October 17, 2026

The median rent in Valrico is $2,536/mo as of October 2026. A studio apartment averages $2,115/mo while a 2-bedroom runs $2,670/mo. One-bedroom apartments average $2,275/mo and 3-bedroom units go for $3,415/mo.

At 29% of local median household income ($104,839/yr), Valrico ranks as affordable compared to the national benchmark of 30%. Rents have increased 3.3% over the past year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How much income do you need to rent in Valrico?

To keep rent at or below 30% of gross income, you would need to earn at least $101,000/year (about $49/hour full-time) to afford the median rent of $2,536/mo in Valrico. The local median household income is $104,839/yr, so the typical household meets that bar.

Is rent going up or down in Valrico?

Rent in Valrico has risen 3.3% over the past year as of September 2026. That is the highest level since Zillow's records here began in January 2015.

When is the cheapest time to rent in Valrico?

Asking rents in Valrico are usually lowest in February, about 1.1% below their yearly trend, and highest in August, about 1.2% above it. At today's median that is a gap of roughly $58 a month. This pattern comes from 11 years of Zillow rent data.

Has rent outpaced income in Valrico?

Yes. From 2019 to 2024, rent in Valrico rose 48% while median household income rose 39.4%, from $75,221 to $104,839. Rent is Zillow's yearly average; income is the Census 5-year estimate for the same years.

Which Valrico neighborhoods have the lowest rent?

The most affordable ZIP codes in Valrico are 33594 ($2,398/mo), and 33596 ($2,796/mo). Citywide, the median rent is $2,536/mo.

How does Valrico rent compare to other cities in Florida?

Valrico is one of the pricier among Florida cities for rent, ranking #69 of 289 tracked cities at $2,536/mo. Over the year to September 2026, rent in Valrico changed +3.3%, against a typical +1.8% across the 270 Florida cities Zillow tracks.

Which nearby cities are cheaper to rent in than Valrico?

Nearby cities with lower median rent than Valrico ($2,536/mo) include Brandon ($1,729/mo), Plant City ($1,766/mo), and Riverview ($2,106/mo).
Income Affordability
29%
AFFORDABLE

At $2,536/mo, rent takes ~29% of Valrico's median household income ($104,839/yr). The standard benchmark is 30%.

Valrico 29%Benchmark 30%
State income taxNone
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Lowest-rent ZIP codes in Valrico
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Neighborhoods

Estimated from ZIP-level data

Schools nearby

Public schools near Valrico, FL

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