City Report · VA

Sterling

Pop. 32,411·15th most expensive in Virginia·One of the pricier rental markets in the US
Median rent (all units)
$2,560/mo
Year-over-Year
+1.4%
Month-over-Month
+0.6%
vs US Median
+$628
Reported rents
Rising (Monthly)
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Most AffordableMost Expensive
Sterling · $2,560
More expensive than 82% of US cities · National median $1,932/mo
Rent Reality Score
52/100
Fairly priced
OverheatedFairGreat value

Rents are right about where Sterling's 10-year trend predicts.

Actual rent
$2,560/mo
Expected by trend
$2,590/mo
The Rent Reality Score compares today's median rent to where Sterling's own long-run trajectory projects it should be. See the full rankings →
Medians by bedroom

Rent by unit size

Studio
$2,257
1 BR
$2,307
2 BR
$2,593
3 BR
$3,243
4 BR+
$3,823
Fair Market Rent (HUD)
$2,593/mo

These are HUD Fair Market Rents, the payment standard for a Housing Choice Voucher (Section 8). They often differ from the $2,560 market median above, and that is expected: FMR is the 40th percentile of standard-quality units and counts gross rent, so it includes essential utilities such as electricity, water, gas, sewer, and trash. The market median is asking rent, which usually excludes utilities. HUD sets FMR once a year; market rent here updates monthly.

Source: HUD Small Area Fair Market Rents. Read the methodology →

Rent trends

12-month history

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Last updated: October 17, 2026

From the history

What the numbers show

Cheapest month to sign

January. Asking rents in Sterling usually run 1.5% below trend in January and 1.6% above it in July, about $79 a month apart at today's median. Based on 11 years of data.

Compared with the peak

Rent in Sterling is at its highest level since Zillow's records here began in January 2015.

Past year vs. the rest of Virginia

Rent in Sterling changed +1.4% over the year to September 2026. Across the 66 Virginia cities Zillow tracks, the typical change was +2.5%.

Rent vs. income since 2019

From 2019 to 2024, rent in Sterling rose 34.2% while median household income rose 26.3% ($97,647 to $123,303). Rent outpaced income.

Since before the pandemic

Rent in Sterling is 35.9% higher than in March 2020. Across the US, rent is up 37.3% over the same stretch.

Recent direction

Rent has risen 2 months in a row, and rose in 9 of the last 12 months.

What a typical income covers

30% of the median household income ($123,303) is $3,083 a month. That covers HUD's Fair Market Rent for up to a 2-bedroom ($2,593); a 3-bedroom is $3,243.

Spread across ZIP codes

The priciest of 3 ZIP codes in Sterling, 20164 ($2,811/mo), costs 12% more than the cheapest, 20165 ($2,517/mo).

Cheaper nearby

Germantown, MD, 13 miles away, rents for 21% less ($2,026/mo), about $6,400 a year in savings.

From Zillow's monthly rent index (ZORI) for Sterling. The seasonal pattern compares Zillow’s seasonally adjusted and unadjusted series. Income is the Census median household income (5-year estimates). Fair Market Rents are HUD’s, which include utilities.

Annual cost
$30,720/yr
At $2,560/mo median
Rent Market Meter
Landlord's Market
Renter's MarketBalancedLandlord's Market
Rents are climbing (1.4% YoY), so leverage tilts toward landlords. Act sooner rather than later.
Based on rent-price momentum (+1.4% YoY, +0.6% MoM), not inventory.
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Demographics

Who lives here

Sterling, VA is majority owner-occupied, has a median income above the national average, 35.4% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher.

Population
32,411
Median income
$123,303
Median age
35.3
Renters
28.2%
Age distribution
23.8%
25.7%
28.1%
Under 1823.8%
18–3425.7%
35–5428.1%
55–6411.3%
65+11.2%
Gender
52.9%
47.1%
Male52.9%
Female47.1%
Race & ethnicity
29.8%
49.2%
15.1%
White29.8%
Black7.4%
Hispanic49.2%
Asian15.1%
Education (25+)
22%
22.4%
20.3%
35.4%
No HS diploma22%
HS diploma22.4%
Some college20.3%
Bachelor's+35.4%
Housing tenure
71.8%
28.2%
Owner71.8%
Renter28.2%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · ACS 2024 5-Year Estimates

2021 vs 2026

How Sterling, VA has changed in 5 years

Rent
$1,909 → $2,560
up 34.1%
Income
$110,915 → $123,303
up 11.2%
Population
31,202 → 32,411
up 3.9%
Renter share
26% → 28.2%
+2.2 pts
Bachelor's+
38.4% → 35.4%
-3.0 pts
Median age
34.4 → 35.3
+0.9 yrs

Across the past five years, the going rent in Sterling, VA has shifted from $1,909 to $2,560, up 34.1% since 2021. Local incomes tracked alongside that move, going from a median of $110,915 in 2021 to $123,303 more recently. Because rent grew faster than wages over the same span, the affordability picture has tightened relative to 2021. Census counts show Sterling, VA adding about 1,209 residents over the five-year window, up 3.9% on net. The renter share has risen from 26% to 28.2%, with owner-occupied housing accounting for the remainder. Bachelor's-degree-or-higher attainment moved from 38.4% to 35.4% across the same window. These shifts give renters and would-be renters a longer baseline for sizing up today's listings against the Sterling, VA market of 2021.

Community

Discussions about Sterling

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View Sterling rent history (2015–2026) →
Salary vs rent

Can you afford rent in Sterling on your salary?

At $2,560/mo, how Sterling rent compares to typical pay (30% rule).

By apartment size

Sterling rent by bedroom count

Median rent for each apartment size in Sterling. Click any size for full breakdown.

Local insights

Tips for renters in Sterling

About renting in Sterling, VA

Last updated: October 17, 2026

The median rent in Sterling is $2,560/mo as of October 2026. A studio apartment averages $2,257/mo while a 2-bedroom runs $2,593/mo. One-bedroom apartments average $2,307/mo and 3-bedroom units go for $3,243/mo.

At 25% of local median household income ($123,303/yr), Sterling ranks as affordable compared to the national benchmark of 30%. Rents have increased 1.4% over the past year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How much income do you need to rent in Sterling?

To keep rent at or below 30% of gross income, you would need to earn at least $102,000/year (about $49/hour full-time) to afford the median rent of $2,560/mo in Sterling. The local median household income is $123,303/yr, so the typical household meets that bar.

Is rent going up or down in Sterling?

Rent in Sterling has risen 1.4% over the past year as of September 2026. That is the highest level since Zillow's records here began in January 2015.

When is the cheapest time to rent in Sterling?

Asking rents in Sterling are usually lowest in January, about 1.5% below their yearly trend, and highest in July, about 1.6% above it. At today's median that is a gap of roughly $79 a month. This pattern comes from 11 years of Zillow rent data.

Has rent outpaced income in Sterling?

Yes. From 2019 to 2024, rent in Sterling rose 34.2% while median household income rose 26.3%, from $97,647 to $123,303. Rent is Zillow's yearly average; income is the Census 5-year estimate for the same years.

Which Sterling neighborhoods have the lowest rent?

The most affordable ZIP codes in Sterling are 20165 ($2,517/mo), 20166 ($2,530/mo), and 20164 ($2,811/mo). Citywide, the median rent is $2,560/mo.

How does Sterling rent compare to other cities in Virginia?

Sterling is one of the pricier among Virginia cities for rent, ranking #15 of 80 tracked cities at $2,560/mo. Over the year to September 2026, rent in Sterling changed +1.4%, against a typical +2.5% across the 66 Virginia cities Zillow tracks.

Which nearby cities are cheaper to rent in than Sterling?

Nearby cities with lower median rent than Sterling ($2,560/mo) include Herndon ($2,382/mo).
Income Affordability
25%
AFFORDABLE

At $2,560/mo, rent takes ~25% of Sterling's median household income ($123,303/yr). The standard benchmark is 30%.

Sterling 25%Benchmark 30%
State income tax2–5.75%
Run the Sterling affordability calculator →
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Neighborhoods

Estimated from ZIP-level data

Schools nearby

Public schools near Sterling, VA

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